Archive for the ‘Presidential election’ Category

2012 campaign bumper stickers …. game on

April 13, 2012

In case you were off the planet yesterday, Hillary Rosen — reportedly a DNC adviser —  dissed  Ann Romney (and millions of stay-at-home moms) that Mrs. Romney — a mother of 5 and cancer survivor — has no cred re: economic issues because she  “hasn’t worked a day in her life”.

Oops … stepped in it.

According to the Washington Post, Team Romney quickly seized the opening:

The Romney campaign’s quick reaction to Rosen’s comments — Ann Romney Twitter feed, Fox News hit, conference call — speak to an operation that is ready for the minute-by-minute battle that is modern presidential campaigning.

Romney’s operation won a measure of respect for their handling of the slipup by Rosen.

Already there’s a Romney  bumper sticker available for sale.

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What happens if no presidential candidate gets 270 electoral votes?

January 12, 2012

Below is our original post from January 2012 … way before it’s time.

The facts are still the same, but the context has changed with Obama going head-to-head with Romney … and folks asking “What if they tie?”

Click here for an updated post specific to Obama-Romney

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What happens if no presidential candidate gets 270 electoral votes?
The Homa Files, January 2012

There are still rumbles that some candidate (think Ron Paul) might run as a 3rd party candidate.

The conventional pundit wisdom is that a 3rd party candidate who splits off from the GOP would simply siphon off GOP votes and seal Obama’s re-election.

I have another scenario to offer up.

What if Ron Paul ran on a 3rd party ticket and was able to win one or more swing states?

Sounds crazy, but think Wisconsin, Colorado and New Hampshire … ‘wildcard’ swing states with large college populations.

Keep in mind that Paul has enthusiastic support among college kids and young adults … partly driven by his staunch anti-war philosophies, his reverence for the Constitution  and his unshakable candor.

To that point, it’s being reported that — based on exit polls — Ron Paul won over  half of the votes of those under 30 in the New Hampshire contest.

Imagine that Paul wins enough electoral delegates to keep Obama or, say, Romney from reaching the magic number – 270 electoral votes.

What happens if no presidential candidate gets 270 electoral votes?

According to the Electoral College web site …

If no candidate receives a majority of electoral votes, the House of Representatives elects the President from the 3 Presidential candidates who received the most electoral votes. Each State delegation has one vote.

The Senate would elect the Vice President from the 2 Vice Presidential candidates with the most electoral votes, with each Senator casting one vote for Vice President.

So, the Congressional arm that Obama keeps ranting about could be the body that ultimately determines whether he’ll be living in DC or Chicago after the election.

Wouldn’t that ironic twist be fun to watch ?

Click here for an updated post specific to Obama-Romney

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Romney-Rice in 2012 ?

December 22, 2011

My bet is that it’ll be Romney-Rubio, but, there’s an interesting piece in the Washington Times that positions Condi Rice for the VP slot.

The essence of the logic:

  1. Hillary will replace Biden as Obama’s running mate to give Obama an uplift and position her for 2016.The Times says insiders claim “the swap” is what induced her to join the Obama team as Secretary of State.
  2. Having Rice on the GOP ticket would change the dynamics of the race since she’s smart, a good debater and, oh yes, an African-American woman.
  3. Rice is reportedly antsy in her current professorial position and wants to get back in the action.

Interesting … but my money is still on Romnet-Rubio … GOP needs some charisma, and Rubio has it.

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Electorate says: “GOP generic is my candidate”

June 20, 2011

According to Gallup’s most recent polling, a “generic” GOP candidate would beat President Obama  by 5 points – 44% to 39%.

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Ken’s Take: The GOP debate strategy – pick on Obama’s policies rather than each other – might just take a toll on the President.

If the candidates stay committed to somebody beating Obama rather than “me” winning, the President will be facing a 18 months of substantial drip-drip-drip.

But, I doubt the candidates will stay on message.  Eventually, some of the candidates will revert to an “elect me” strategy.

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