Now that I’m officially “qualified” to get the COVID-vaccine, I’m a lot more interested in the details.
And, the more I dig deep, the more confused I get.
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Let’s start with the Biden Plan which. I guess, kicks off officially tomorrow.
I commend Biden for elevating the priority of “shots in arms” … and buy-in to ideas like mass distribution sites, community clinics, mobile distribution sites, accelerated retail distribution (drug stores, grocery chains, Costco).
I especially like the nudge that’s legitimizing over 65ers (i.e. me) for vaccinations.
But…
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What’s the goal?
I like the specific goal of “100 million in 100 days”, but gotta ask: 100 million what?
Reading the recaps of weekend interviews this weekend, Biden’s spokespeople seem to be a bit squishy on whether the target is 100 doses or 100 people fully vaccinated (i.e. having gotten both doses).
This may sound like nit-picky semantics, but it’s a big difference.
If it’s 100 million doses, it’s a lay-up.
Last week, we were hovering around 1 million shots per der day … best day was over 1 million; 7-day average was 775k per day.
Threshold reached, trend positive … especially, in marketing-speak, with a wider target market and and broader retail distribution.
Simple math: 1 million doses per day times 100 days equals, drum roll, 100 million “shots in arms”.
But having 100 million people fully vaccinated (i.e. both doses) is a long 3-point shot (from about mid-court).
My back-of-envelope estimate is that 100 million doses in 100 days would translate to about 70 million people fully vaccinated (since many folks will be taking 2 bits of the apple).
That’s a big difference … but still a commendable goal (especially if my wife & I are among the 70 million!).
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What about vaccine supply?
This is the big weekend surprise…