Archive for the ‘Campaign 2012’ Category

A preview of the 2012 campaign ad wars …

June 30, 2012

Remember the “Chinese Professor” commercial that ran during the 2010 elections cycle?

               click to view

It was generally considered to be a very effective execution.

The GOP’s stated strategy for 2012 is is to use President Obama’s own words and actions against him.

“Operation Hot Mic” is the work of American Crossroads — Karl Rove’s Super Pac.

I think the commercial is very well crafted … it combines the feel of “Chinese Professor” with the guts of “Own Words”.

Worth watching whether conservative or liberal …

              click to view

Thanks to JC for feeding the lead

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Gallup: “National Mood a Drag on Obama’s Re-Election Prospects” … say, what?

May 23, 2012

According to Gallup :

Some six months before voters head to the polls to choose the next president of the United States,

Gallup finds several indicators of the economic and political climate holding steady at levels that could be troublesome for President Barack Obama.

According to Gallup polling in early May, Obama’s approval rating is below 50%, Americans’ satisfaction with the direction of the country is barely above 20%, and the economy remains a dominant concern.

Talk about a juxtaposition of cause & effect …  perhaps, its President Obama who is responsible for the country’s lack of confidence … rather than the lack of confidence causing headwinds for the President.

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Side Note

41% of the country was  “satisfied with direction of the U.S.” when Bush was vying for re-election.


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Obama: “I was for it before I was against it … but now, I’m for it … unless the polls go against me.”

May 17, 2012

Unless you were on Mars last week, you know that President Obama – inadvertently coaxed by bumbling Joe Biden – announced his support for gay marriage.

Not much surprise there, but the revelation sparked some interesting politics.

Quick out of the chutes, Newsweek – the reliably liberal news mag – hit the stands with a very controversial cover announcing Obama as the first gay president … apparently a play off of Bill Clinton’s old claims that he was the first black president.

My bet: it’ll be the highest selling issue of Newsweek ever … with most of its distribution in early November … used by both the far left left and the far right to rally their bases.


* * * * *
Interesting Twist

On the heels of the Newsweek feature article, a New York Times survey reported that 2 of 3 people saw through Obama’s “evolution” as being more politically expedient than morally driven.

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The political motives

Consistent with the NY Times survey, the Newsweek article outlined the political rationale:

There was, of course, cold politics behind it.

One in six of Obama’s fundraising bundlers is gay, and he needs gay’s money.

When Obama announced recently that he would not issue an executive order barring antigay discrimination for federal contractors, the gay donors all but threatened to leave him high and dry.

If money was one factor making the move necessary, the youth vote — essential to his demographic coalition and overwhelmingly pro–marriage equality — clinched the logic of it. The under-30s were looking worryingly apathetic, especially compared with 2008. This would fire them back up.

The latest Gallup poll, moreover, offered another incentive.

Marriage equality is now supported by half of Americans in polls.

Independents favor gay marriage by 57 percent.

So it’s been confirmed: gay rights is indeed a wedge issue.

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Another plot twist

Newsweek’s political logic makes sense, except…

The New York Times/CBS News poll indicates that most respondents said that the president’s position (on gay marriage) will not impact how they vote.

But among those who say it will influence their choice, 26 percent said they are less likely to vote for Obama as a result, while 16 percent say they are more likely to.


Doing the arithmetic, that means a net loss of 5% (25% minus 16% = 10% times 50% = 5%) voting for Obama in what’s generally considered a 50/50 race.

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Dissing the media

To close the loop, Obama campaign deputy manager Stephanie Cutter went on MSNBC to dismiss the CBS/New York Times poll as “flawed”.

Note that we cited Newsweek, the NY Times, CBS and MSNBC … not FoxNews or the WSJ …  wow.

Stay tuned, this political saga isn’t over.

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“You PE guys are a bunch of vampires … have any loose change?”

May 16, 2012

Monday was a great  day in the rough & tumble day in the world of presidential politics and candidates’ hypocrisy.

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Monday morning

President Obama’s campaign launches an ad, “Steel,” attacking Mitt Romney’s record on job creation.

The two-minute ad focuses on GS Technologies, a steel mill in Kansas City that was bought by Romney’s private equity firm Bain Capital and went bankrupt soon after.

According to the Washington Post, the ad paints Romney as out of touch with the needs of the local workers and concerned only with Bain’s own profits.

“We view Mitt Romney as a job destroyer … a vampire. They came in and sucked the life out of us.”

          click to view

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Monday afternoon

In rapid response mode, the Romney campaign also released its own web ad, “American Dream,” focused on a successful steel company invested in by Bain:

          click to view

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Monday evening

According to the Weekly Standard, President Obama attended a fundraiser Monday evening in New York City  hosted by Hamilton E. James, the chief operating officer and president of Blackstone —  “one of the world’s largest private equity fund businesses”

This fundraiser-of-the day had a particular irony to it since earlier in the day Obama criticized private equity investors as vampires.

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You just can’t make this stuff up …

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