Archive for July 18th, 2020

Where’s the case-related spike in deaths?

July 18, 2020

No question, the number of confirmed coronavirus cases has skyrocketed since mid-June.

During the same time period, daily new deaths reported have leveled off … typically ranging between 500 and 1,000.

The chart below displays the 7-day moving average of daily reported new cases and deaths … indexed to their levels in mid-April when daily new deaths previously peaked (2,824 on April 21) and daily new cases were running about 30,000.

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Data Source: Worldometer 

My take:

Even factoring a lag time between case diagnoses and deaths, it doesn’t appear that the higher case counts are driving a commensurate spike in deaths.

July 18: C-18 DATA DASHBOARD

July 18, 2020

Cumulative Deaths 
142,054 Worldometer

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939 Daily New Deaths Worldometer
> 7-day average 758

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Worldometer

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Currently Hospitalized

> 57,000  July 16
> 7-day average      54,000
> April 22 peak        59,000
> June 21 low point  28,000

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RonaViz

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Confirmed Cases

> 74,987 New Cases Worldometer
> 7-day average    67,325
> Highest day        73,388  July 16
> April 24 peak      36,291
> June 8 low point  17,414

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RonaViz

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Worldometer 

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WSJ JHU