Archive for August 31st, 2020

Shocker: Americans uneasy about violence in the streets…

August 31, 2020

…. and, it’s showing up in the polls with big implications.
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Let’s start with the big picture…

Prior to each Presidential election, Pew surveys Americans to find out which issues are most important to them.

Below are Pew’s results for 2016 and 2020

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Here’s how to interpret the chart and the key takeaways…

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Aug. 31: Election Odds & Polls

August 31, 2020

RCP – Betting Average  of 6 “live” betting books
Biden 50.6  Trump 48.7  Gap +1.9

Yesterday:            52.0 47.8 +4.2
Biden July HIgh :
   60.9 30.6 +24.3 
Pre-conventions:   55.6 43.3 +12.3

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RCP – Poll of Polls
Biden 49.7  Trump 42.8  Gap 6.9  Undecided 7.8
Note: No polls since Aug.25

538 – Chance of Winning
Biden 61  Trump 39  Gap 21

Aug. 31: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 31, 2020

187,215  Deaths-to-Date

362 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 944    (peak 2.229 April 23)

32,709  New Cases
> 7-day average  39,689

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Details below…

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