Archive for October 13th, 2020

What if the US had “gone Sweden” on COVID?

October 13, 2020

Let’s look at some numbers..
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The Barrington Declaration — signed by thousands of scientists and medical practitioners (and, of course, censored by Google, et. al.) — has really stimulated my thinking about the past & Biden-prospective COVID lockdowns.

For a summary of the Barrington Declaration, see: Which scientists to believe & to follow?

The current COVID death counts are eye-opening:

The U.S. has accumulated about 665 deaths per million … Sweden has accumulated 585 deaths per million — a rate that is about 12% lower than the U.S. .. and whopping 66% lower than the heavily locked down state of New York.

I’d call those numbers statistically significant.

Now, let’s look at the numbers from a different angle…

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Oct. 13: Election Odds & Polls

October 13, 2020

Headline: Trump is back on the campaign trail
… start of a comeback or a futile final gasp?

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Biden +31.7 in odds, +10.2 in polls      

RCP – Betting Average  of 7 books’ odds
Biden 66.0   Trump 34.3   Lead 31.7 

Trump Best:   49.7  49.8   + .1   Sept. 2
Biden Best :
   67.3  32.7  +39.7  Oct. 11

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Predict It   online betting site
Biden 64  Trump 40   Lead 24

Trump Best Aug 31:   53 48 +7
Biden Prior Best Oct.11
: 64 40 +24

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RCP – Poll of Polls – National
Biden 51.8  Trump 41.6   Lead 10.2
Undecided 6.6

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RCP – Poll of Polls – Battlegrounds
Biden 49.4  Trump 44.6  Lead 4.8
Undecided 6.0
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538 – Chance of Winning  Nate Silver
Biden 86  Trump 13  Lead 73

Oct.13: C-19 Data Dashboard

October 13, 2020

220,011 Deaths-to-Date

316 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 720    (peak 2.229 April 23)

45,791  New Cases
> 7-day average  47,879

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Details below…

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