Archive for June 15th, 2020

Covid death risk: Some good news.

June 15, 2020

Today, let’s put Covid death rates in perspective…
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By now it’s clear that people older than 65 are the most vulnerable to the novel coronavirus, and the age penalty is severe for the elderly nursing home patients with underlying health conditions.

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Source: WSJ, CDC

According to the WSJ:

  • About 2/3s of Covid deaths have been over 65
  • The median age of death 80.
  • About 1/4 Covid deaths have been folks over 85.
  • 95% of deaths involved at least 1 chronic condition
  • 60% of deaths had three or more comorbidity factors
  • About 1/2 of all Covid deaths have been nursing home patients

Here’s some good news that puts those numbers in perspective…

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June 15: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data

June 15, 2020

327 Daily New Deaths Worldometer
> 7-day average 879
> Peaked on April 21

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Cumulative Deaths 
117,863 Worldometer
208,320 by Oct 1ug 4 @ current 7-day M.A.

IHME Model Cume US Death Projection:
169,890 by Oct 1 <= NEW END DATE
472 = Implied Daily New Deaths until Aug 4

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Key States Data

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No Bottom 39 states with 25 or more New Deaths