Archive for September 9th, 2020

How effective are vaccines?

September 9, 2020

Answer: Not as much as you might expect.
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Excerpted from a September 2019 White House report which looked specifically at flu and coronavirus vaccines ….

There is considerable variation from year to year in how much the flu vaccine reduces the risk of contracting the seasonal flu and flu-related illnesses.

Over the past 14 years, influenza vaccine effectiveness has ranged between 10% and 60%.

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Much of the variability depends on which viral strains predominate in a given year and, more specifically, whether the vaccine matches the viral strain that is circulating in a given flu season.

Although a mismatch between the vaccine and the virus circulating during a flu season reduces efficacy, vaccines still provide some protection against flu illness and decrease the severity of the illness, due to immunologic similarity between the viruses.

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When it comes to pandemic viruses

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Sept. 9: Election Odds & Polls

September 9, 2020

Biden +5 in odds, +7 in polls

RCP – Betting Average  of 6 books’ odds
Biden 52.3  Trump 47.0  Lead +5.3  Up 1.3

Trump Best:   49.7  49.8   + .1   Sept. 2
Biden Best :
   60.9  30.6  +24.3  July 23

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PredictIt   online betting site
Biden 58  Trump 45  Lead 13

Trump Best Aug 31:   53 48 +7
Biden Best July 23
 :   63 39 +24

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RCP – Poll of Polls
Biden 49.9  Trump 42.8  Lead 7.1
Undecided 8.0

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538 – Chance of Winning  Nate Silver
Biden 74  Trump 26  Lead 48  Up 5

Sept. 9: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 9, 2020

193,983 Deaths-to-Date

449 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 726    (peak 2.229 April 23)

27,077  New Cases
> 7-day average  36,704

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Details below…

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