Archive for September 14th, 2020

Did Trump “lie” and “cause” thousands of deaths?

September 14, 2020

Let’s drill down on Woodward’s “bombshell” (and Biden’s new campaign mantra)
=============

Woodward certainly set the media’s collective hair on fire with his “bombshell” that Trump “knew” that the coronavirus was more serious than he was telling the American people … and, that confusion and delay resulted in “thousands of unnecessary deaths”.

The Biden campaign quickly shifted gears from “Build Back Better” to “Trump lied, people died”.

Really?

Bottom line: Save for the dramatic impact of the audio tapes, Woodward’s “bombshell” is old news that has been debunked by the science (and scientists) … and the data.

Specifically, the NY Times ran an  article dated April 11 that detailed practically all of Woodwards’s “scoops” … and subsequently “the science ” — voiced by none other Dr. Anthony Fauci — and “the data” provided context, explanations and refutations.

image

Let’s start by flashing back to our April 13 post that analyzed the Times’ story…

Note: Trust me, the analysis is as relevant today as it was in April.  It’s long, but IMHO, well worth the reading time. 

(more…)

Sept. 14: Election Odds & Polls

September 14, 2020

Biden +6.5 in odds, +7.5 in polls

RCP – Betting Average  of 6 books’ odds
Biden 52.8  Trump 46.3  Lead +6.5 

Trump Best:   49.7  49.8   + .1   Sept. 2
Biden Best :
   60.9  30.6  +24.3  July 23

image

PredictIt   online betting site
Biden 60  Trump 44  Lead 16

Trump Best Aug 31:   53 48 +7
Biden Best July 23
 :   63 39 +24

**********************************
RCP – Poll of Polls
Biden 50.5  Trump 43.0  Lead 7.5
Undecided 6.5
**********************************
538 – Chance of Winning  Nate Silver
Biden 76  Trump 24  Lead 52 

Sept. 14: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 14, 2020

198,520 Deaths-to-Date

392 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 759    (peak 2.229 April 23)

31,857  New Cases
> 7-day average  34,247

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)