Archive for September 1st, 2020

Nums: A historical perspective on race relations in the U.S….

September 1, 2020

Controversial topic, so let’s just follow the data “follow the data”
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Biden says that he and Obama eased the racial divide … and that Trump is blew the gap wide open.

What do the numbers day?

click graph to enlarge
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Well, according to Gallup, that’s only partially right…

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Sept. 1 : Election Odds & Polls

September 1, 2020

RCP – Betting Average  of 6 books’ odds
Biden 52.0  Trump 49.0  Gap +3.0

Yesterday:            50.6 48.7 +1.9
Biden July Best :
   60.9 30.6 +24.3 
Pre-conventions:   55.6 43.3 +12.3

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PredictIt   online betting site
Biden 57  Trump 46  Gap 11

Yesterday:            53 48 +7
Biden July Best
:   63 39 +24 
Pre-conventions:   60 43 +17

RCP – Poll of Polls
Biden 49.6  Trump 43.4  Gap 6.2  Undecided 7.0
Note: Only 2 of 7 polls since Aug.25

538 – Chance of Winning
Biden 61  Trump 39  Gap 22

Sept. 1: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 1, 2020

187,215  Deaths-to-Date

455 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 938    (peak 2.229 April 23)

35,860  New Cases
> 7-day average  38,891

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Details below…

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