Archive for the ‘Border Security’ Category

Border Chief: “System is at breaking point.”

March 7, 2019

Dems say that illegal crossings have declined in the past couple of years, evidence that that there is no crisis … and certainly no national emergency.

That narrative seems to have hit a bump in the road.

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Let’s drill down on the numbers…

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Why the Senate won’t rescind Trump’s emergency declaration….

February 26, 2019

Yesterday, we argued the case for Trump prevailing legally.

Again today, let’s set aside aside the question of “should he do it?” … and focus on “can he do it?”.

Specifically, will Trump survive a Congressional move to Undeclare his national emergency?

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OK, Pelosi is going to push through a resolution to “undeclare: Trump’s national emergency.

Dems will vote in lockstep, and the bill will will be passed over to the Senate.

Dems are ecstatic that a handful of GOP Senators are hinting may jump party lines and that enough my vote aye on the undeclaration.

Not so fast, grasshoppers.

There are a couple of reasons why I don’t expect the Senate to pass the Undeclaration Resolution…

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Will Trump’s national emergency gambit survive legal challenges?

February 25, 2019

Loosely written laws and established precedents are on his side.
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For a moment, let’s set aside aside the question of “should he do it?” … and focus on “can he do it?”.

There’s a great legal analysis in the right-leaning Federalist that concludes

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You can (and should) read the whole  article. It weaves legal specifics with tight logic.

Here are my key takeaways…

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Trumps’s approval numbers on an uptick…

February 18, 2019

Last week, we posted Rasmussen poll results indicating that Trump’s approval got a bump after the SOTU.

See Trump approval up since SOTU…

Since Rasmussen leans right and doesn’t use classic interviewing techniques, it’s easy for some folks to dismiss the numbers.

But, Gallup is the gold standard of polling, right?

Well, the Rasmussen conclusion seems to be corroborated by Gallup.

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The most recent Gallup survey indicates that (1) Trump has more than bounced back from the shutdown dip, and (2) His approval – which is at a high water mark – is double that of Congress!

So, what’s going on?

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What you need to know about the border wall bruhaha…

February 15, 2019

Over the past couple of weeks I’ve put up a few posts addressing the border wall legislative mess.

To get you ready for weekend cocktail party debates on “the bill” and National Emergency, I’ve pulled together the posts into a sort of border wall primer.

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For openers, Dems like to say that Trump doesn’t have a plan … or that his defacto plan is “a concrete wall from sea to sea”.

Yes, the “build the wall” campaign rhetoric provides fodder for the sea-to-sea claimers, but Trumps plan (yes, there is one) has evolved to about 225 miles of steel slat barriers, strategically placed to slow the inbound flow across the borders and channel border crossers to bolstered “ports-of-entry.

See Cutting to the chase: What exactly is Trump demanding?

But, walls are ineffective and fundamentally immoral, right?

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Why Trump should feel ok about the border deal…

February 14, 2019

In technical terms. a binary switch got flipped.
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Pro-wall extremists are fretting that Trump got hosed since he only got $1.375 billion towards the border wall/

Not to worry, folks.

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The deal reminded me of an old story that provides some perspective…

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DHS Expedites Border Wall Project in San Diego … say what?

February 9, 2019

MUST READ: Is this the trick that President Trump has up his sleeve? 
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In the last few days, Trump has seemed way too sanguine about the outcome of the conference committee trying to hash out a budget resolution … especially since the best case (from Trump’s perspective) is a token amount of money that is tightly specified so that it’s not to be used to construct a “wall”.

Trump also has signaled that he won’t force another government shutdown and won’t declare a national emergency … and, indicated that he might be able to operate under existing “executive authority“.

So, what’s he got up his sleeve?

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In a prior post, we posed a gut-check question for Pelosi (and anybody else) who says that walls are immoral and don’t work:

Should the border wall between San Diego and Tijuana be torn down?

Well, late Friday afternoon when the media was busy with the Bezos and Virginia fiascos,  the San Diego – Tijuana story took a strange twist.

The DHS issued a press release headlined “DHS Issues Waiver to Expedite Secondary Fence Replacement Project in San Diego“.

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click to view the press release on the DHS site

This may be a signal of what’s to come, so let’s drill down on it…

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Trump should declare OPIOIDS a National Emergency…

February 5, 2019

… and, include border barriers as one of the supporting actions.
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First, the current lay of the land…

Pelosi is still declaring “I’ve been clear: No money for walls. Period”.

So, odds of the conference committee reporting out legislation that includes wall funding remain slim to none.

President Trump has threatened to declare the porousness of the southern border a National Emergency … under which he would have broad executive authority that would include funding and building people-crossing barriers in strategic locations.

Dems have already threatened to take a border-focused National Emergency Declaration to the uber-liberal 9th Circuit Court  where it would likely be enjoined.

The journey to the Supreme Court would take time … with slightly better than 50-50 odds of reinstatement

So, what should Trump do?

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Cutting to the chase: What exactly is Trump demanding?

January 30, 2019

As the Senate-Congressional conferees kick-off their negotiations, the MSM is still harping on the political-emotional hysteria and continuing to insinuate that Trump wants a Chinese-like concrete wall that runs the entire expanse of the U.S.-Mexico border.

Very misleading…

Let’s take a step back and put the “demand” in context:

The U.S.-Mexican border is about 2,000 miles long … 1,954 to be precise.

About 700 miles of walls and fencing are already in place (e.g, the wall separating San Diego from Tijuana)

  • About 400 miles of the barriers are designed to stop pedestrian traffic
  • About 300 miles is “vehicle fencing”  which blocks vehicles but allows people on foot to cross easily.

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The Sand Diego – Tijuana border

So, what exactly is Trump demanding?

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“I’m a security monitor”

January 23, 2019

An oft repeated  Dem talking point is that walls don’t work.

When they’re confronted with the success rates of the many walls securing borders around the world, they shift to “but there are more cost-effective methods.”

What are these more effective methods?

As best I can tell, it’s throwing human capital at the problem (think: more border agents) … or enhanced electronic surveillance  (think: drones).

Whenever you hear the latter argument, do what I do: recall the Lifelock commercial “Bank”.

When armed robbers rush into a bank, the scared customers implore the security guard to do something.

He informs them that he’s no a “security guard” … he’s simply a powerless “security monitor”.

View the clip to refresh your memory … then recall the imagery every time you hear the phrase “methods more efficient than walls”.

Click to play
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Follow-up: Why are there more U.S. troops on South Korea’s border than on our own border?

June 29, 2011

Yesterday, I posed the question:

Why are there more U.S. troops on South Korea’s border than on our own border?

Specifically, there are about 200 US soldiers per border mile between North & South Korea, but only  is about 1 agent or soldier for every 10 miles along the US-Mexican border.

A loyal HomaFiles reader provided an thoughtful answer to my question.

Well this one is pretty easy actually: We are defending against a greater economic threat to the U.S. in South Korea than we currently face in most of the area adjacent to the Mexican border. To wit:

1) North Korea has the world’s largest artillery force, some 13,000 pieces of which are deployed at the DMZ

2) The Korean People’s Army (aka the bad guys) has ~1.1 MM soldiers (plus a reserve of 8 MM) with 70% of that active force within 100km of the DMZ

3) Seoul, South Korea is just 50 from the DMZ and produces ~$210 billion in GDP (Hong Kong is ~$225 billion)

4) Any enduring attack on Seoul would create global supply-chain chaos – much of which would disproportionately impact the U.S. and its allies

5) The most effective deterrent known to the world are U.S. men and women in uniform alert, aware, and armed to the teeth

Draw your own conclusion …

Why are there more U.S. troops on South Korea’s border than on our own border?

June 28, 2011

Excellent question posed by CNN’s Jack Cafferty:

There are 1,200 National Guard troops deployed along the U.S. border with Mexico.

The troops were scheduled to leave June 30th, but an extension is likely.

To be fair, there are about 20,000 border agents also on patrol along the 2,000 mile long U.S.-Mexican border.

That’s about 1 agent or soldier every 10 miles.

In comparison, there are 28,000 U.S.  troops stationed along the South Korean border with North Korea.

The border between North & South Korea is only about 150 miles.

So, there are almost 200 U.S. soldiers per border mile in North Korea.

And, that’s not counting the highly regarded South Korean army.

Does that make sense to you ?

Hmmm …