Archive for April 2nd, 2020

WSJ Shocker: 1 in 3 infected patients gets a ’false negative’ test result.

April 2, 2020

If this true, it explains why NY is still on fire.
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First, the basics.

Only people who are symptomatic are supposed to get a coronavirus test.

If a person tests positive, they are either given clear directions to self-quarantine, or if their symptoms are severe, they are admitted to the hospital for care.

If a person doesn’t have coronavirus but tests positive, the consequences are pretty minimal: the patient is hospitalized until recovered (or the docs detect the testing error) … or the person is sent home to self-quarantine for 2 weeks. That’s basically no harm – no foul.

But, on the other hand, if a person has coronavirus and test is negative (i.e. the test misses the coronavirus), the patient is sent home (i.e. denied hospital admittance) and sent back home, believing that they’re clean of coronavirus.

English translation: they’re back in circulation not knowing that they are infected … and, most likely, infecting other people.

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Here’s the showstopper …

The WSJ is reporting that:

“Health experts  now believe nearly one in three patients who are infected are nevertheless getting a negative test result.”

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Hey, Dr. Fauci: Here’s a randomized control study for you…

April 2, 2020

Its conclusion: Hydroxychloroquine helps patients!
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As reported in the New York Times

Based on a randomized control study, Chinese researchers report that:

  • Coughing and fever eased a day or so earlier in the patients who received hydroxychloroquine, and
  • Based on CT scans, pneumonia improved significantly in 80.6% who received hydroxychloroquine, as opposed to 54.8% in the control group.
  • Only 2 patients had minor side effects from hydroxychloroquine: One had a rash and another had a headache.
  • The illness turned severe in four patients — all in the control group.

According to Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease expert at Vanderbilt University:

“The findings strongly support earlier studies suggesting a role for the drug (hydroxychloroquine)”

Digging deeper…

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April 2: COVID-19 Tracker

April 2, 2020

COVID-19 Deaths (Daily & To Date) Worldometer

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Daily New Deaths UP  Worldometer   

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Projected Daily New Deaths   IHME Model

  • Peak DND Projection: 2,644 on April 16

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Cumulative U.S. Deaths    Worldometer   

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Projected U.S. Deaths  IHME Model

  • Up 10,000 since 3/31/2020
  • NY = 16,261  17.5% of US Total

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State-by-State Data
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