Archive for April 3rd, 2020

Dr. Fauci gets grilled on Hydroxychloroquine…

April 3, 2020

This is the interview that I’ve been waiting for…

There is a growing list of anecdotal evidence, field tests and doctor sentiments in favor using Hydroxychloroquine (HC) to treat coronavirus patients.

See our posts for more detail:

The plural of “anecdotes” isn’t “data” … or is it?

Hey, Dr. Fauci: Here’s a randomized control study for you…

But, the beloved Dr. Fauci says to hold off until there are closely controlled, large scale randomized tests of the drugs safety and efficacy, even though such tests would take several months at the best.

This morning he was “confronted” with the evidence and, in effect, asked to defend why he’s slow-rolling use of about the only therapeutic drug that’s currently in our coronavirus quiver.

Predictably, he trashed the studies (“not sufficiently robust’), dismissed the doctor surveys (“we don’t decide based on what doctors  feel”) and rejected current usage patterns (“doctors can do whatever they want”).

The 5-minute segment is worth viewing.

Depending on where you stand on the Hydroxychloroquine situation, you’ll either think the guy is a champ or a chump!

click to view the video


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Dr. Birx was asked about the reported “false negatives”…

April 3, 2020

… and, her answer made me very nervous

Yesterday the WSJ reported that:

“Health experts  now believe nearly one in three patients who are infected are nevertheless getting a negative test result.”

For details and links, see our post:
WSJ Shocker: 1 in 3 infected patients gets a ’false negative’ test result.

I expected that the story would send shockwaves around the DC science community and, for sure, be a reporter’s question at the daily Coronavirus Task Force press conference.

I was half-right … Dr. Birx was asked the question: “What about the report of 1/3 false negatives?”

Paraphrasing her answer:

1. We have to look into that – probably anomalies since….

2. Test results across sites are fairly consistent … and about what we’d expect.

3. If true, 1/3 false negatives would  mathematically give an unrealistic incidence rate.

Let’s drill down on each of those answers:


April 3: COVID-19 Tracker

April 3, 2020

COVID-19 Deaths (Daily & To Date) Worldometer



963 Daily New Deaths Down Slightly  Worldometer   


Projected Daily New Deaths   IHME Model

  • Peak DND Projection: 2,644 on April 16



6,075 Cumulative U.S. Deaths    Worldometer   


Projected U.S. Deaths  IHME Model

  • Up 10,000 since 3/31/2020
  • NY = 16,261  17.5% of US Total


State-by-State Data