Archive for April 30th, 2020

So, how far & fast does a virus spread?

April 30, 2020

Here’s a crash course on the subject.
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In a press conference last week, Gov. Cuomo started talking about the “virus reproduction rate” and, channeling Germany’s Chancellor Merkel, declared that NY can’t be reopened until it is under control. WSJ

Sounds reasonable, right?

Yeah, but what the heck is he talking about?

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Fasten your seat belts and let’s do some fun math today…

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April 30: Key NATIONAL Data

April 30, 2020

2,369 Daily New Deaths Worldometer
> 7-day trend is level @ ~2,000

737 NY+NJ+CT 31% of US & dropping             

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See: How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Cumulative U.S. Deaths 
61,635 Worldometer

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
72,860 by Aug. 4  Rev. DOWN 1,213 on 4/29 

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click for Key STATES Data
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Click to see the video that YouTube blocked:
The contrarian California docs who are challenging the scientific consensus.

Posted in COVID-19 Tracking | Leave a Comment »

April 30: Key STATES Data

April 30, 2020

STATE DEATHS  Worldometer

Summary

  • NY+NJ+CT = 32,412  53% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 51,234 83% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 325 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
      Bottom 39 Average = 60 Deaths/Million
  • Maryland 1,078  +62

State-by-State Data – Top 12

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Related Posts:

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Posted in COVID-19 Tracking | Leave a Comment »