Archive for July, 2015

How do self-made billionaires self-make their billions?

July 31, 2015

Previously, we posted that there are about 1,800 billionaires in the world and that about 2/3s of them are self-made … not just born lucky.

According to a PwC study, the self-made billionaires usually started at a big company, some were fired from the big companies, and most became serial entrepreneurs.

Usually they got on the map with their first or second venture, but built their wealth through a series of successive (and highly successful) ventures.

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The PwC study also identified 5 traits that were relatively common across the self-made billionaires.

 

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Broadly speaking, PwC says concludes that most business managers are “performers” – linear logicians who are good at execution .

The self-made billionaires are “producers” who  look at the world from different angles — allowing them to spot opportunities and to turn good ideas into great businesses.

More specifically, the PxC team concluded that “most self-made billionaires – the “producers” –practice five habits of mind — ways of thinking and acting that generate uncommonly effective ideas and approaches to leadership.”

The 5 traits:

1. Ideas: Empathetic Imagination

The producers typically worked in their field long enough to have an awareness of critical trends, empathy for customers, and knowledge of existing practices.  Then, they added a healthy dose of imagination to change the game.

2. Time: Patient Urgency

“The creation of massive value in an industry does not happen overnight. The billion-dollar idea often comes after years, even decades, of commitment to a market space. Skilled producers learn to be patient. They know how to wait for the right idea at the right time. But once they hit on a compelling idea, they have a bias toward action that compels them to take urgent steps.

3. Action: Inventive Execution

Many executives take product design and go-to-market strategies as givens. “The business model, pricing, functions, sales pitch, and deal structure are treated as inherited, predefined by the models, costs, and pricing that already exist in the company and industry.“

Producers redesign opportunities everywhere – both in the product – broadly defined – and the implementation.

4. Risk: Relative, Not Absolute

“Producers, in general, are distinguished not by the level of risk they take, but by their attitude about risk. Most people measure risk in absolute terms: Will this business succeed or fail? Producers view risk in relative terms: Which option presents the greatest opportunity? If the opportunity is right in a risky venture, they’ll look for ways to mitigate risk”

5. Leadership: Teaming with Performers

“The idea of the solo genius is so pervasive in the way people talk about and think about extraordinary success that it obscures the real story of how good ideas become great businesses. Self-made billionaires are not alone. Producers have the ability to see beyond the parameters of what exists today to imagine new opportunities. Performers, in turn, have the ability to optimize and achieve within known parameters. Value creation requires both.”

Producers surround themselves with producers …

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Bottom line:

Yeah, wealth distribution is skewed. No argument there.

But, it’s wildly misleading to characterize the richest of the rich as folks who were just born lucky.

The majority of the made their own luck … and earned their wealth.

Sorry, if the facts don’t match the popular narrative …

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#HomaFiles

Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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How many billionaires are there? How many are self-made?

July 30, 2015

With all of the vitriol now being cast at rich people, and with all of the broad-brush policy proposals to redistribute their wealth … you’re probably guessing a pretty big number, right?

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Well, Forbes reports about 1,800 billionaires worldwide  … holding $7 trillion…   or roughly 7% of the total global gross domestic product.

1.800 isn’t a particularly big number, right?

But, even I concede, they skew the distribution of wealth.

The billionaires always seem to get caricatured as Saudi princes, one of Sam Walton’s descendants  or Paris Hilton – all just lucky by birth and clearly undeserving.

Well, PwC’s think tank dug deeper into the numbers and uncovered some facts that tend to disrupt the popular narrative …

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Jet: Start-up targets Amazon and Walmart … say, what?

July 29, 2015

After months of testing and and network-building, the e-commerce start-up Jet.com opened its digital storefront last week, marking the official kickoff of the company’s ambitious effort to battle Amazon and Walmart for price-conscious customers.

According to the Washington Post, Jet is taking a new approach to pricing. Its algorithm doesn’t simply look at the price of each individual item in your online shopping cart.

It looks at all the items you want to buy, as well as your Zip code, to determine which retailer or warehouse can ship that unique combination of items to you the cheapest.

Shoppers can only buy things on Jet if they’ve signed up for a $49-per-year membership.

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Let’s dig a little deeper and assess the odds …

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Where does Amazon collect sales tax? Why?

July 28, 2015

One of the things that I about Amazon was that my orders didn’t get dinged with sales taxes.

That was then, this is now.

In 2013, I was disappointed to see Amazon start collecting sales taxes in Virginia (my home state).

But, no collected sales tax in Maryland – next state over – where we have a summer vacation shack. shack and a branch of the family tree.

Hmmm …

The arbitrage opportunity evaporated in 2014 when Amazon started collecting sales tax in Maryland.

Nuts.

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Some recent purchases sparked my curiosity .  What’s going on?  Are there still arbitrage opportunities?

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States: Where does $100 buy the most? The least?

July 27, 2015

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) does a periodic market basket study – estimating how much a standard basket of goods costs in different parts of the country.

The national average is indexed to $100 … and called the Relative Price Parity index.

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Based on the most recent study, prices are the lowest in Mississippi where the $100 shopping basket can be purchased for $86.80.

Said differently, a dollar is worth 15% than the national average in Mississippi.

What’s the most costly state?  Where does your state rank?

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Big Question: Will an iPhone blend?

July 24, 2015

All the hoopla surrounding  Trump’s announcing Sen. Graham’s cell phone number …. and Graham’s humorous video of ways he tried to remediate the situation by destroying his cell phone … reminded me of an ad campaign run by a company called  Blendtec.

According to George Parker of  AdScam ….

At a conference a couple of years ago. GE and their agency, BBDO, made a presentation of their new “Imagination” campaign.

After showing some nice TV spots and explaining that they’d spent $300 million on media over the last year, they proudly declared that brand awareness had increased substantially.

This generated polite applause.

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Next up was the Marketing Director of blender manufacturer Blendtec who proceeded to blend:

  • a brick
  • some ball bearings
  • an 8 ft garden rake
  • an iPhone

He then put up a single slide showing that every time they posted a self-produced, ten dollar video on YouTube in their long-running “Will It Blend” campaign (which to-date has had more than 220 million views,) sales went up by an accurately measurable percentage.

Understandably, the crowd went nuts.  

The point being, GE spent hundreds of millions and couldn’t quantify with any certainty what they had achieved for all that money.

Blendtec spent pennies and achieved consistently significant and measurable results.

Below are the links to the Blendtec iPhone videos…  worth watching.

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Flaw of Averages: 3 views on inflation …

July 23, 2015

Oftentimes, important trends are buried  in statistical averages.

You know, the thing drowning in a river with an average depth of 3 feet.

In my Strategic Business Analytics course, I harp on “decomposing” problems and statistics down to their component parts …. to simplify the problems and reveal insights.

Here’s a case in point: the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

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For the past 10 years (really, longer), the CPI has pretty much straight-lined upward.

Case closed, steady inflation … right?

Not so fast.

Let’s look at the CPI from a couple of other angles …

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Shocker: I agree with Bernie Sanders’ Financial Transactions Tax … err. make that “half-agree”

July 22, 2015

Dem-Socialist candidate Bernie Sanders doesn’t serve up much that I agree with … but, there is one reheated idea that I half-support.

Sanders proposes that financial transactions be taxed … roughly 1/2% for most trades … slightly lower for for some categories of investments … say, Municipal Bonds.

Sanders would use the new tax proceeds to fund public college for low-income students.

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Let’s dissect the proposal … then, for what it’s worth, I’ll tell you where I agree and where I disagree …

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Uh-oh: Hacker hits on Ashley Madison …

July 21, 2015

This may be bigger than the Feds having 20 or 30 million digital personnel files tapped by hackers.

Ashley Madison got hacked and over 37 million customer files have been taken hostage,

Just in case you’ve been living under a rock, Ashley Madison is a sleazy, Canadian based “online dating and social networking service” that “discretely” hooks up folks who are already in a relationship, i.e. married.

Some background:

The name of the site was created from two popular female names, “Ashley” and “Madison” … the site’s slogan “Life is short. Have an affair.”

The site has been around for about 15 years and gets about 125 million hits each month (pun intended).

Reportedly, 70% of the site’s members are guys … no surprise there.

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That’s the back-story … now for the “so what?” …

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How many freelancers are there in the U.S. workforce?

July 20, 2015

Note that I said  “freelancers”, not “freeloaders” ….

So, how many?

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Place to start is with a definition ….

According to a trade group called the Freelancers Union, there are 5  basic types of freelancers:

  1. Independent Contractors: These are the “traditional” freelancers who don’t have an employer and instead do freelance, temporary, or supplemental work on a project-to-project basis.
  2. Moonlighters: Professionals with a primary, traditional job who also moonlight doing freelance work. For example, a corporate employed web developer who also does projects for non-profits in the evening.
  3. Diversified workers People with multiple sources of income from a mix of traditional employers and freelance work. For example, someone who works the front desk at a dentist’s office 20 hours a week and fills out the rest of his income driving for Uber and doing freelance writing.
  4. emporary Workers:  Individuals with a single employer, client, job, or contract project where their employment status is temporary. For example, a business strategy consultant working for one startup client on a contract basis for a months-long project.
  5. Freelance Business Owners: Business owners with  between one and five employees who consider themselves both a freelancer and a business owner. For example, a social marketing guru who hires a team of other social marketers to build a small agency, but still  identifies as a freelancer.

OK, so what’s the answer?  How many?

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What percentage of retail sales are done online?

July 17, 2015

Got to thinking about this since recently ….

Amazon Prime is pushing hard for sign-ups and online activity.

Conter-indicator: Recently, I’ve done more store-shopping than I have for a while.

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Bought a TV from Best Buy online and satisfied my need for instant gratification by picking it up at a local store.

Glad I did, because the TV had an “issue” and needed to be replaced … a quick 2nd trip to the store got me up & running with virtually no hassle.

Bought a new boat motor at West Marine.

Shopped for one online, wanted to touch the real thing.

Glad that I did because I ended up having a seasoned pro salesman introduce me to a motor technology that I didn’t even knew existed – eco-friendly propane powered outboards.

Bought one.

That said, my 30-something kids scoff that they by everything online.

Sound familiar?

OK, so what’s the answer?

What percentage of retail sales are now being done online?

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Seriously, does anybody give a hoot about the Iran deal?

July 16, 2015

The Obama-friendly MSM has been trying its best to hype the deal as the most consequential foreign policy act in history … or at least the past hundred years.

Republicans  and Israelis are ranting doom and gloom.  The former largely for political reasons; the latter with legitimate concerns that they’re toast.

So, I’ve been feeling a bit guilty that I can’t get revved up on the issue

Thought Obama’s press conference yesterday might get me interested.

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For what it’s worth, here’s my take …

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I’m a ‘Hot Shot’ … err, make that WAS a Hot Shot.

July 14, 2015

Time for a little shameless retro self-promotion.

Here’s the back-story …

The year was 1988.

We were living in Connecticut, so I took my then young sons to the Princeton-Yale basketball game … hoping to hook them on Ivy League colleges.

Walking in, some students were signing up volunteers for the half-time shooting contest.

Urged on by my family, I threw my name into the ring.

They called my name … I beat 2 other contestants … and was invited to the “Finals” to compete for 2 round-trip tickets on American Airlines.

Lay-ups were worth 1 point, free throws were worth 3, and shots from the 3-point line were worth 7.

I figured that 18 points would win it.

My strategy: rapid-fire 8 free throws … and make 6 of them.

I practiced and knew I could do it.

Under game day pressure, i missed 4 of 7 free throws, and had no choice but to head for the 3-point line.

Bottom line: SWOOSH !  7 points … for a total of 16.

Just enough to win the crown and a trip to Las Vegas.

Best of all: my sons were in the stands to see it all.

Since you probably weren’t there, click the pic or link below to see the most exciting 45 seconds in sports history.

click to view video

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Best part of all: my sons were in the stands to see it all.

Worst part: It’s been downhill since …

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#HomaFiles

Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

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Innovations: Lulumon’s “Stuff Your Bra II" sports bra … say, what?

July 13, 2015

In a CNBC round-up of analyst stock picks, one dude was high on Lulumon because of its product “innovations” like the “Stuff Your Bra”.

That caught my eye, of course.

At first, I thought this post was going to be about false advertising … not by Lulumon, by its customers.

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Turns out that Lulumon’s “innovation” isn’t about faux-enhancement… it’s about practicality.

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Gov’t @ Work: A lesson in cost-benefit analysis.

July 10, 2015

The Inspector General for the Social Security Administration released a report on the SSA’s track record for detecting and collecting overpayments – amounts paid to people in excess of what they’re entitled to receive.

Here’s the good news …

“Generally, SSA attempts to collect overpayments regardless of the amount.”

 

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Here’s the bad news …

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How to get your credit reports for free …. no strings attached.

July 9, 2015

Want to see your credit reports?

Some companies provide almost free peeks at your credit reports.  Typically, you have to sign up for a credit checking or identity theft program …. and then cancel your subscription within 7 or 30 days to avoid getting billed.

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There’s also a low hassle way …

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What percentage of women keep their maiden name when they get married?

July 8, 2015

According to a Google Consumer Survey reported in the NY Times

Just over 1 in 5 first-marriage brides keep their maiden names rather than take their hubby’s surname.

The trend has been slowly inching up for the past couple of decades.

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What’s driving the trend?

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Digital amnesia: Is Google dulling your memory?

July 7, 2015

First, some background …

The tests I give my students always include some questions that can reasonably be tagged “memorization”.

Some students are repulsed by them them and shout the cultural refrain: “Don’t memorize anything that you can look up.”

The apparent thinking: You’ve only got a limited amount of space in your brain, so don’t clog it with an overload of information … only store the stuff you can’t look-up.

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What’s wrong with that argument?

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Which states do people view most (and least) favorably?

July 6, 2015

YouGov ran a poll asking a national sample which states were viewed favorably … and which were viewed unfavorably.

Then, they ranked states based on the net difference between favorable and unfavorable views.

The winner: sunny paradise Hawaii.

 

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Interestingly, the rest of the top 10 is dominated by northern and mountain states.

Guess which state has the lowest favorability rating …

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Decision Making: Beware the villains …

July 3, 2015

According to Chip & Dan Heath in Rotman Management article “The 4 Villains of Decision Making” …

“Research in Psychology over the last 40 years has identified a broad set of biases in our thinking that doom our decision making. If we aspire to make better choices, we must learn how these biases work and how to fight them.”

 

Confused man

 

According to the Heath Brothers – academics & popular authors – there are 4 decision making villains that have to be confronted

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Dilemma: The case of the lost concert tickets …

July 2, 2015

 

A classic “framing” question from Kahneman’s Thinking Fast, Thinking Slow

Here’s the situation:

A woman has bought two $80 tickets to the theater.

When she arrives at the theater, she opens her wallet and discovers that the tickets are missing.

$80 tickets are still available at the box office.

Will she buy two more tickets to see the play?

 

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Most (but, not all) survey respondents answer that the woman will go home without seeing the show.

Let’s try another situation …

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Amazon and the “power of free” …

July 1, 2015

Everybody knows that Amazon’s free shipping program has been a resounding success.

So much so. that the company has announced that it will be moving the minimum qualifying order up from $25 to $35 … inducing shoppers to fill  their carts fuller or switch to the highly profitable Amazon Prime program.

The free shipping program’s success was highly predictable based an an apparently inadvertent “matched market test” that Amazon did.

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Here’s the skinny on the Amazon’s inadvertent market test …

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