Let’s throw some math at the question…
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It’s not a conscious thing, but these days, our brains are constantly running risk assessments:
- What’s the likelihood that I get exposed to COVID?
- What’s the likelihood that I get infected?
- How bad will it be if I do get infected?
Unfortunately, “the science” hasn’t been providing us with much useful “data to follow” on those questions.
So far, the best data is on question #3: How bad will it be if I do get infected?
CDC: 95% survivability rate if over 70 … higher with no symptoms, no co-morbidities or younger.
Those are pretty good odds, right?
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Today, let’s look at question #1 — the likelihood of getting exposed to the virus, say, at a Thanksgiving gathering.
The Homa Files 