Archive for November 2nd, 2020

Biden: I know Philadelphia…

November 2, 2020

… I got my Eagles jacket on.

That’s what Screamin’ Joe said to burnish his “native son” cred.

Sorry, Joe … that’s a Univ. of Delaware Blue Hen on your jacket, not a Philadelphia Eagle.



Nov.2: Election – Battlegrounds

November 2, 2020

RCP Average – 6 Battlegrounds
Biden  49.0  Trump  45.9  +3.1



Battlegrounds – State-by-State

> RCP has a statistical tie in NC, Biden leading in the other 5 battlegrounds.

> Trafalgar has Biden leading in WI, Trump leading in the other 5 battlegrounds


If I had to bet today:

> Trump takes AZ, NC, FL … and drags Tillis & McSally to victory.

> Biden takes MI and WI … James pulls an upset in MI

> PA is winner-takes-all … advantage Trump, but too close to call … controversial counting will drag on


Technical Note:

There are 2 pollsters who are generally credited with getting the 2016 election right: IBD/TIFF and the Trafalgar Group.

The Trafalgar Group leans right, emphasizes state polls & predictions (especially the swing states) and claims to have a proprietary protocol that elicits replies from the “shy Trump voters”.

Yesterday’s “Trump Caravan” in DC…

November 2, 2020

What a totally peaceful protest looks like.


We got a surprise on Sunday afternoon.

We were on the inner-loop of the Washington Beltway yesterday. heading northeast to Annapolis.

On the other side of the road, we noticed a couple of cars & trucks with Trump flags and banners.

We couldn’t help but notice that it wasn’t really just a couple of cars & trucks.

The caravan was miles long.

For those familiar with the DC Beltway, the caravan ran almost the entire distance from I-270 to Route 50 (the expressway to Annapolis).

The Caravan was unlike anything I’d ever witnessed — save for the Macy’s T-Day Parade.

Yes, pick-ups made up the majority of the caravan … but, there were plenty of high-end SUVs, too.

And, for the record, the caravan appeared to be moving at the speed limit and traffic on that side was flowing nicely by Beltway standards.

We didn’t see any firearms being brandished … and nobody was chucking projectiles at innocent people, places or things.

Just driving and waving out of their windows and sky-roofs.

For Trump supporters, it was reassuring to see “shy” Trump supporters come out-of-the closet in the solid-blue DC-Maryland area.

For Biden supporters, there must be solace that none of the caravan’s votes will matter since DC, MD and VA are a lock for Biden.

BTW: On our side of the road, we only spotted one Biden-Harris bumper sticker.

It was on a car parked on the side of the road with its hood up.

An omen?

Nov. 2: C-19 Data Snapshot

November 2, 2020

236,471 Deaths-to-Date

399 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 853    (peak 2.229 April 23)


Confirmed Cases

71,321  New Cases
> 7-day average  80,664

> Highest day        101,012  Oct. 30
> April 24 peak      36,291
> June 8 low point  17,414

Currently Hospitalized

47,374  Current level
> Highest day    59,840  April 15
> Lowest point   27,895  June 14
> Recent peak    59,715  July 23