Archive for November 10th, 2020

Early odds: GA Senate run-offs

November 10, 2020

Betting lines see a split vote … I’m not so sure.

By now, everybody should be aware that the two  Georgia senate run-offs in January will determine control of the Senate … and, whether or not the radical left will be throttled by a divided government.

If the GOP wins at least one of the elections, the Senate stays in GOP control.

If the the Dems sweep the 2 seats, the Senate is tied 50-50 and Dems control the Senate with Kamala presiding.

The early betting line is a split decision … with Warnock (D) a slight favorite over Loeffler … and Perdue (R) favored over Ossoff.

Note: There’s a technical explanation of the odds at the end of post.


My bet: One party or the other will sweep the run-offs.

Here’s why…


About the Congressional races…

November 10, 2020

A bonafide red wave!

The Congressional elections are, perhaps, a better indication of American political sentiment than the Presidential election — which was certainty influenced by Trump-hating.

Going into the election, pundits and politicos were forecasting a Dem pick-up of 10 to 15 seats.

Not to be.

Already in the books is a 5-seat GOP pick-up…


And, there 10 congressional contests that haven’t been called.

Based on current counts, the GOP stands to pick up an additional 8 seats … for a total pick-up of 13 seats.


Now, that’s a red wave !

P.S. Another fine job by the prognosticators.

Nov. 9: C-19 Data Dashboard

November 10, 2020

244,448 Deaths-to-Date

641 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,047 (peak 2.229 April 23)


Confirmed Cases

125,609  New Cases
> 7-day average  113,655

> Highest day        125,609  Nov. 9
> April 24 peak      36,291
> June 8 low point  17,414

Currently Hospitalized

59,275  Current level

> Highest day    59,840  April 15
> Lowest point   27,895  June 14