Archive for April 12th, 2020

Remember when Cuomo (and the media) trashed Trump for not believing the models?

April 12, 2020

Now, the Gov. says all of the models and projections were wrong (but it’s not his fault)
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You could see this one coming a mile away…

A couple of weeks ago, Gov. Cuomo repeatedly (and loudly)  sounded the alarm that New York needs 30,000 ventilators from the Feds .. and urged President Trump to use the Defense Production Act to force companies to make more ventilators, pronto.

Trump pushed back, saying that the numbers just didn’t pass the smell test.

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Countering that was easy pickings for Cuomo, who immediately shot back.

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Gov. Cuomo defended the state’s request for 30,000 more ventilators to save coronavirus patients.

After all, he gathered predictions from Weill Cornell Medicine, the CDC and blue chip consulting firm McKinsey and Company.

All the predictions say you could have an apex needing 140,000 beds and about 40,000 ventilators. We only have 11.000.”

Upping the ante, Cuomo decided that he could use the situation to school the seat-of-the-pants President.

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April 12: Covid-19 UPDATE

April 12, 2020

Recommended Reading:

How strictly are you complying to stop the spread?

What you need to know about the IHME Model…

Why have the model’s forecasts dropped so much?

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TODAY”S DATA

1,819 Daily New Deaths   Worldometer
5 Consecutive days ~ 2,000 DND
1,,077 in NY+NJ+CT   59% of Total US

Pivotal question: An apex or a plateau?

IHME Model   Peak DND Projection:
2,212 on April 12  Revised DOWN 918 on 4/7

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Cumulative U.S. Deaths 
20,580  Worldometer
20,608   JHU

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
60,415 by Aug. 4 Rev. DOWN 21,351 on 4/7

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STATE DEATHS  Worldometer

Summary

  • NY+NJ+CT = 11,304  55% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 17,371 84% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 109 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
  • MA, IL moving up in ranking
  • Indiana is #13 with 330 Deaths +30 DND
  • MD 206 Total Deaths  35 DNDs

State-by-State Data – Top 12

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