Archive for April 27th, 2020

NY Antibody Test < UPDATE>

April 27, 2020

Phase 2 Results
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Gov. Cuomo reported Phase 2 results today.

Bottom line: Results are virtually identical to the Phase 1 results.

14.9% of the sample tested positive for coronavirus antibodies …  that’s up slightly from the Phase 1 results.

That projects up to 2.80 million New Yorkers.

Given the current number of cases (293,381), 2.6 million (89.8%) of the already infected people were, by definition asymptomatic — having no or mild symptoms.

The deaths to infections rate (.8%) was the same in both phases.

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Trump to scale back press conferences … whew!

April 27, 2020

Has he been reading the HomaFiles?
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Last week, we (and a zillion other observers) advised the President to dial back on his participation in the daily Task Force press conferences … and, rather, maintain his visibility by holding his own occasional “hot topic” news conferences.

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Looks like he’s taking the advice.

A couple of things appear to be motivating the welcomed relief….

(more…)

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Dr. Birx scolds the press and millennials …

April 27, 2020

“Headlines are irresponsible … and most people don’t read the full story”.
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The poor media.

For weeks, they’d been fawning over Drs. Fauci and Birx for their Trump-thumping truth-telling.

That caricature started to unravel when Birx admited that “I didn’t see this thing coming” … then Fauci laid blame for the testing “failings” on the scientists … and then, both Fauci and Birx testified that Trump listens to them and has based big decisions (e.g. the lockdown) on their data and recommendations.

That was bad, but things got even worse in weekend interviews when Tapper, et. al., tried to get Birx to throw Trump under the bus for telling American idiots to drink Clorox and Lysol.

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Birx didn’t take the bait, instead responding:

Well, I think it bothers me that this is still in the news cycle.

I think I have answered that question.

I think I made it very clear in how I interpreted that …  and so has Dr. [Anthony] Fauci and everyone associated with the task force.

I think I have made it clear that this was a musing … a “dialogue” between President Trump and scientists. 

I think the president made it clear that physicians had to study this {sunlight and disinfectants].

Sources:    Axios   RCP   Politico

And, she went in for the kill …

(more…)

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April 27: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data

April 27, 2020

1,147 Daily New Deaths Worldometer
> Best day in nearly a month
> 5-day trend is downward

>Note: Weekend reporting has tended to under-record the number of weekend deaths, carrying some over to Monday & Tuesday

504 in NY+NJ+CT 44% of US              

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See: How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Cumulative U.S. Deaths 
55,412  Worldometer
54,841  JHU

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
67,641 by Aug. 4  Rev. UP 1,665 on 4/22

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click for Key STATES Data
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Related Posts:

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

About that forecast of 60,000 coronavirus deaths

Posted in COVID-19 Tracking | Leave a Comment »

April 27: Key STATES Data

April 27, 2020

STATE DEATHS  Worldometer

Summary

  • NY+NJ+CT = 30,137  54% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 46,454 84% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 294 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
      Bottom 39 Average = 52 Deaths/Million
  • GA under 10 new deaths for 2nd day
  • Maryland 910  +35

State-by-State Data – Top 12

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Related Posts:

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Posted in COVID-19 Tracking | Leave a Comment »