Archive for September 30th, 2020

Telemundo snap-polled their viewers …

September 30, 2020

… with surprising (albeit unscientific) results.

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"I’ve done more in 47 months — than you’ve done in 47 years."

September 30, 2020

That’s my summary of last night’s bleep-show.
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The debate was a discouraging spectacle.

Geez, a New York bully against a malleable has-been politico.

Trump interrupted … Biden name-called and brayed like a jackass.

Out of 330 million, can’t we do better than this?

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Here’s my morning after mind-dump on what I saw last night…

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Sept. 30: Election Odds & Polls

September 30, 2020

Headline: Big post-debate bump for Biden in overnight betting odds.
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Biden +18 in odds, +6.1 in polls      

RCP – Betting Average  of 7 books’ odds
Biden 58   Trump 42   Lead 18 

Trump Best:   49.7  49.8   + .1   Sept. 2
Biden Best :
   60.9  30.6  +24.3  July 23

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Predict It   online betting site
Biden 60  Trump 42  Lead 18

Trump Best Aug 31:   53 48 +7
Biden Best July 23
 :   63 39 +24

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RCP – Poll of Polls – National
Biden 49.4  Trump 43.3   Lead 6.1
Undecided 7.3

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RCP – Poll of Polls – Battlegrounds
Biden 48.6  Trump 45.1  Lead 3.5
Undecided 6.3
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538 – Chance of Winning  Nate Silver
Biden 78  Trump 21  Lead 57

Sept. 30: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 30, 2020

210,624  Deaths-to-Date

816 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 740    (peak 2.229 April 23)

35,323  New Cases
> 7-day average  39,777

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Details below…

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