Archive for May 8th, 2020

NYT: Travelers from New York “seeded” outbreak across the U.S.

May 8, 2020

From China to Europe to NYC to…
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Let’s start this story near the beginning…

By mid-March , it had become apparent that New York (more specifically, the NYC metroplex) was a blazing coronavirus hot spot.

It was also becoming apparent that the West Coast outbreaks had been “seeded” by travelers from China … and, that the NYC outbreak had been seeded from Europe.

At the March 24 Task Force Press conference, Dr. Birx casually mentioned that “60% of all the new coronavirus cases in the United States stem from the New York City metro area” and advised New Yorkers, wherever they were, to shelter-in-place. Source

It was commonly misconceived that Dr. Birx was saying that 60% of new cases were occurring in New York … ignoring the key words: “stem from”.

The governors of Rhode Island and Florida understood what she was clearly saying.

Rhode Island Gov. Gina Raimondo’s directed state police to stop vehicles with New York license plates at the border, encourage them to u-turn … and if they demurred, to collect ID information from drivers and passengers and advise them to self-quarantine for 14 days to “stop the spread”. She also encouraged local law enforcement to go door-to-door looking for New York license plates and advise the car owners of the need to self-quarantine.

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Following suit, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis started jawboning New Yorkers:

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Then, fearing that New York travelers were “akin to international travelers bringing the disease from Europe and China”, DeSantis issued an executive order requiring fliers from the New York area be tested on arrival and advised to self-isolate for two weeks upon arrival in the Florida.

President Donald Trump floated a trial balloon that he might institute a ban on New Yorkers’ travel to others states amid the coronavirus.

Encouraged by the ACLU, Gov. Cuomo accused President Trump of “trying to start a civil war”, insinuated that Gov. DeSantis was a rube “playing to his rural constituency” and threatened to sue his Rhode Island neighbor.

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President Trump let the matter drop, the Florida restrictions died under the weight of the heavy stream of New Yorkers fleeing to the Miami environs and Rhode Island caved to Cuomo’s threats.

OK, now let’s fast forward to today…

(more…)

May 8: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data

May 8, 2020

2,129 Daily New Deaths Worldometer
> 7-day trend 1,865 Level
> 3-day trend 2,334 Up Slightly

750 NY+NJ+CT 65% of US Total

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See: How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Cumulative Deaths 
76,928
Worldometer
37,996  NY+NJ+CT 49% of US Total

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
134,475 by Aug. 4  Rev. UP 62,492 on 5/5
>> Projection roughly DOUBLED <<

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click to see Daily STATES Data and C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES
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Related Posts:

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

About that forecast of 60,000 coronavirus deaths

May 8: Key STATES Data

May 8, 2020

STATE DEATHS  Worldometer

  • NY+NJ+CT = 37,996  49% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 62,894 82% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 409 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
      Bottom 39 Average = 80 Deaths/Million
  • Maryland 1,503  +66

State-by-State Data – Top 12

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 C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?