Archive for May 14th, 2020

Data: Over half of C-19 deaths in nursing homes.

May 14, 2020

It’s now crystal clear that one of the great fails of the C-19 response was not recognizing that nursing homes would be underprepared hot spots … and then taking all-out action to contain the carnage among the most vulnerable subset of the population.

How bad has the carnage been?

According to an analysis compiled by the CTUP(The Committee to Unleash Prosperity):

Over half of C-19 deaths have befallen residents of nursing homes, veterans’ homes and other long-term care facilities … resulting in the death of over 2% of of the population in those facilities.

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See the statistical  note at the end of this post.

The percentage of reported long-term care (LTC) deaths ranges from a low of 20% in Nevada to over 80% in Minnesota.

Note: For convenience, we lump nursing homes, veterans’ homes and other long-term care facilities into a single category that we refer to as “LTC”

The reported death rate (ratio of LTC deaths to the LTC population) is below 1/2% in about 1/2 of reporting states, but ranges as a high as 11.4% in New Jersey.

Here’s more state-by-state detail…

(more…)

May 14: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data

May 14, 2020

1,747 Daily New Deaths Worldometer
> 7-day average 1,482 
> 3-day average 1,462

385 NY+NJ+CT 22% of US Total

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See: How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Cumulative Deaths 
84,172
Worldometer
40,142  NY+NJ+CT 47% of US Total

Note: JHU reporting 84,059

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
147,040 by Aug. 4  Rev. UP 9,856 on 5/12

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click to see Key STATES Data and  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES
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Related Posts:

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

About that forecast of 60,000 coronavirus deaths

May 14: C-19 Key STATES Data

May 14, 2020

STATE DEATHS  Worldometer

  • Total US Deaths = 85,172 258 per Million
  • NY+NJ+CT = 40,142  47% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 68,704 81% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 447 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
      Bottom 39 Average = 93 Deaths/Million
  • Maryland 1,809  +53

State-by-State Data – Top 12

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 C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?