Archive for May 24th, 2020

Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39

May 24, 2020

Which are the ones to watch?
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A loyal reader asked: The “Bottom 39” DND keeps rising, are there any particular states driving that?

So, I crunched some numbers looking at the past 3 weeks of data… May 3 until today (charts below).

During that period, there were 30,288 C-19 deaths in the U.S.

The Bottom 39 accounted for 8,601 of those deaths … that’s 28% of the total.

16 states (in the Bottom 39) had more than 200 deaths between May 3 and May 24.

Those 16 states accounted for 6,086 deaths … that’s 70% of the Bottom 39 total.

Note that:

  • The states near the top of the list of 16 are relatively large in population
  • Texas and North Carolina still have relatively low per capita death rates
  • Rhode Island and D.C. are low on the list of 16 (but in the Top 28) and have relatively high per capita death rates
  • Minnesota, Arizona, Mississippi, Iowa and New Mexico have more than doubled their death count since May 3

image

Here’s another cut at the data…

(more…)

May 24: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data

May 24, 2020

1,043 Daily New Deaths  Worldometer
> 7-day average 1,224
> Peaked on April 21

271 NY+NJ+CT 21% of US Total

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See: How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Cumulative Deaths 
98,693
Worldometer
43,954 NY+NJ+CT 45% of US Total

IHME Model Cume US Death Projection:
143,357 by Aug. 4  Rev. DOWN 3,683 5/18

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click to see Key STATES Data and  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES

May24: C-19 Key STATES Data

May 24, 2020

STATE DEATHS  Worldometer

  • Total US Deaths = 98,693 299 per Million
  • NY+NJ+CT = 43,954  45% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 78,218 79% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 508 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
  • Bottom 39 Average = 116 Deaths/Million

State-by-State Data – Top 12

click chart to enlarge
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 C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES