Archive for May 1st, 2020

Help Wanted: Vice President of Contact Tracing & Testing

May 1, 2020

Warning: Read this before you apply for the job.
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Contact tracing & testing is front and center as a fundamental component of the Coronavirus Task Force’s plan to go forward.

Dr. Fauci has said (over & over again) that the process worked fine 30 years ago when he was fighting AIDs … and the media says that the test & trace model has been South Korea’s secret sauce fighting the coronavirus.

The essence of the process: Do diagnostic surveillance testing to ID people currently infected with the coronavirus, then trace back to ID the people with whom they’ve been in contact … then notify those people and test them … if they test positive, repeat the process … then again and again.

Sounds easy enough, doesn’t it?

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But, it might not be as easy as it sounds.

Let’s run some numbers…

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May 1: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data

May 1, 2020

2,236 Daily New Deaths Worldometer
> 7-day trend is level @ ~2,000

853 NY+NJ+CT 38% of US            

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See: How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Cumulative U.S. Deaths 
63,871
Worldometer

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
72,433 by Aug. 4  Rev. DOWN 1,213 on 4/29 

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Related Posts:

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

About that forecast of 60,000 coronavirus deaths