Archive for May 13th, 2020

Oh my, what a disappointing Senate hearing…

May 13, 2020

Are these scientists just making things up as they go along?
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I watched or listened to practically all of yesterday’s Senate hearing on the coronavirus.

Bottom line: My heart sank faster and deeper than the real-time stock market ticker.

On balance, I thought the  the Senators did a pretty good job.  With a couple of exceptions (think: Sanders and Warren), there was less political venom than I expected and more reasonable, relevant questions.

Unfortunately, the format worked against the hearing.

Just like it’s easier to say mean things to someone in an email than it is to mean-speak face-to-face. the virtual-remote environment minimized “constructive tension” between the participants.

And, as usual, the 5-minute time limits precluded deep-probe closure on any issue.

For example, Sen. Romney had an exchange that caught my attention:

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Time ran out before Romney could ask the logical follow-up question:

“Well, Dr. Fauci, then who is responsible?”

My bet: The answer would certainly have been revealing … one way or another.

Let me explain…

(more…)

May 13: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data

May 13, 2020

Headline: Downward trend appears real.

1,630 Daily New Deaths Worldometer
> 7-day average 1,593 
> 3-day average 1,129

405 NY+NJ+CT 25% of US Total

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See: How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Cumulative Deaths 
83,425
Worldometer
39,757  NY+NJ+CT 48% of US Total

Note: JHU reporting 82,339

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
147,040 by Aug. 4  Rev. UP 9,856 on 5/12

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click to see Key STATES Data and  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES
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Related Posts:

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

About that forecast of 60,000 coronavirus deaths

May 13: C-19 Key STATES Data

May 13, 2020

STATE DEATHS  Worldometer

  • Total US Deaths = 83,425 253 per Million
  • NY+NJ+CT = 39,755  48% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 67,430 81% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 438 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
      Bottom 39 Average = 91 Deaths/Million
  • Maryland 1,756  +73

State-by-State Data – Top 12

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 C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?