Rx: How to start fixing the IRS …

May 20, 2013

OK, here’s my diagnosis – the Dx — and my short-term prescription – the Rx.

First, the Dx …

Of course, the Tea Party and other conservative groups were targeted for political purposes.

Any claim of “efficiency procedures” or “inadvertent error” are simply ridiculous.

Of course,  folks high up the food chain were involved … setting the broad mission (with Mob-like deniability) — “punish your enemies” –- and condoning the actions by failing to stop them them when they became well known.

So, what to do?

image

Here is how I’d get started righting the ship … the Rx:

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: Scandals important, but O’s rating is up … say, what?

May 19, 2013

The term “Teflon president” is being re-calibrated.

Here’s a head-scratcher:

Despite the Benghazi, IRS and AP scandals, CNN reports that Obama’s job approval ratings have bumped up.

image

That’s despite the parallel findings that respondents think the 3 scandals are important, that they are indeed scandals, and that they think that the GOP-led Congress is handling the matter correctly.

Here are some details …

Read the rest of this entry »

IRS: An “efficiency initiative” that resulted in horrible “customer service” … say, what?

May 18, 2013

I was in the car on Friday morning and tuned the radio to the Congressional testimony of the Treasury IG and Acting IRS Commissioner Steven Miller.

In a word: frightening.

First, the IG seems like a straight arrow.  HIs answers were direct, structured and fact-based.

He dished the bad news, but wouldn’t take the GOP bait to condemn beyond his specific findings.

Then, there was this clown.

image

Let’s put this situation in perspective and then drill down …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: Will the scandal hurt the IRS’s image?

May 17, 2013

Trick question since the public’s perception of the IRS is already pretty low

According to A Pew survey, the Internal Revenue Service, now under intense scrutiny for singling out conservative groups,  is one of the least-popular federal agencies.

Specifically. the IRS ranks 11th out of 14 agencies (the 13 listed below plus the Homeland Security Department) in terms of public perception of their performance.

image

Only 47% of people surveyed said they had a “very” or “mostly” favorable opinion of the IRS.

Hmmm.

That pesky 47% number.

 

I guess that folks who don’t pay income taxes think that the IRS lightening everybody else’s wallets is way cool.

The IRS is the second-lowest among the 13 agencies people were asked about.

The only agencies ranking lower were Eric Holder’s Justice Department (38% excellent or good), the Social Security Administration (36%) and Arne Duncan’s Education Department (33%).

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma           >> Latest Posts

ABC: IRS Official in Charge Targeting Now Runs ObamaCare Division

May 16, 2013

Definitely from the ‘you can’t make this stuff up” file …

image

ABC News is reporting …

The Internal Revenue Service official in charge of the tax-exempt organizations at the time when the unit targeted tea party groups now runs the IRS office responsible for the health care legislation.

Sarah Hall Ingram served as commissioner of the office responsible for tax-exempt organizations between 2009 and 2012.

But Ingram has since left that part of the IRS and is now the director of the IRS’ Affordable Care Act office, the IRS confirmed.

House Speaker John Boehner expressed “serious concerns” that the IRS is empowered as the law’s chief enforcer.

“Obamacare empowers the agency that just violated the public’s trust by secretly targeting conservative groups,” Rep. Marlin Stutzman, R-Ind.,
added.

“Even by Washington’s standards, that’s unacceptable.”

Sen. John Cornyn even introduced a bill, the “Keep the IRS Off Your Health Care Act of 2013,” which would prohibit the Secretary of the Treasury, or any delegate, including the IRS, from enforcing the Affordable Care Act.

“Now more than ever, we need to prevent the IRS from having any role in Americans’ health care,” Cornyn, R-Texas, stated.

“I do not support Obamacare, and after the events of last week, I cannot support giving the IRS any more responsibility or taxpayer dollars to implement a broken law.”

Seriously, you just can’t make this stuff up …

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma              >> Latest Posts

Stop right there, professor … proof of citizenship, please !

May 16, 2013

Unfortunately, this has become an annual event.  A summer initiation of sorts.

Once again, I was detained for questioning by government officials.

This year was unusually unnerving.

No, it wasn’t by rogue IRS agents in Cincinnati targeting an alleged conservative blogger.

image

I was suspected of crossing a border to illegally access government-provided services.

Here’s the story …

Read the rest of this entry »

Turning around the turnaround: JC Penney goes back to the future …

May 15, 2013

In one svelte move, JC Penney launched near-total, point-by-point repudiation of ex-CEO Ron Johnson’s attempt to turn the retailer into a chain of Apple stores. 

 

image

Let’s dissect this one …

Read the rest of this entry »

What’s going at Business Insider?

May 14, 2013

I understand that Henry Blodget is probably still hacked that he got nailed for pumping Internet stocks before the bubble burst … and got barred from ever working on Wall Street again.

So, I assume, he’s probably just over-compensating to balance life’s scales an increase the odds of getting into heaven.

But, gimme a break…

Here’s a screenshoot of a recent Business Insider home page headlining:

  • It’s a good idea to cut everybody in America a check
  • A Today Show host got engaged
  • A vision of NBA stars without tatoos
  • Corporate logos with subliminal messages

image

May just be me, but doesn’t read though as either “business” or “insider” …

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma         >> Latest Posts

Bored at work? Here’s why …

May 14, 2013

Interesting tidbit in a Business Week article What’s Wrong With the U.S. Job Market?

Punch line: the “cognitive content” of tasks performed by employed college graduates peaked in 2000, has dropped fairly steadily since, and is approach all-time lows.

image

Here’s more …

Read the rest of this entry »

Gotcha: IRS admits to targeting “Patriots” … turns attention to ObamaCare enforcement.

May 13, 2013

Just in case you missed the news last Friday, the IRS publicly admitted that it targeted conservative groups during the 2012 election … and then shielded itself behind a George Castanza defense.

Here is the WSJ summary of the IRS disclosure:

Yesterday,an Internal Revenue Service official disclosed for the first time, and by way of apologizing, that the agency that wields the taxing power of the federal government had targeted conservative groups for special scrutiny during the 2012 election season.

A spokeswoman acknowledged that the agency had flagged groups with the words “tea party” or “patriot” to have their tax returns inspected.

In addition, the agency was targeting groups raising  “issues regarding government spending, government debt or taxes”,  or …  how to  ‘make America a better place to live’WSJ update

She added the tax inspections were carried out entirely by low-level workers in Cincinnati without any direction from Washington.

Here’s my take on the IRS revelations:

First, a couple of weeks ago Obama bristled at the thought that some (many ?) folks don’t trust the government. 

What does the jabrone expect if his administration turns its bulldogs on its political opponents?

Can you imagine the outcry if George Bush had told the IRS to key word search “Muslim”, “Islamic”,”Progressive” or “choice” and then said to go get ‘em.

All hell would have broken loose.

Second, about the “don’t blame me, it was somebody in my organization” defense …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: THE way to look at the employment numbers …

May 10, 2013

In a  couple of the past week’s posts we’ve been exploring the employment down mixing from full-time to part-time jobs.

I personally think that it is one of the most important – and least reported trends in the economy.

Flashback to last Friday … the BLS headline was that 165,000 jobs were added in April and the unemployment rate dropped to 7.5%

That news flash elicited giddy re-reporting … e.g. Business Insider’s “STOCKS GO WILD AFTER AWESOME JOBS REPORT” … “awesome” and all caps,

Yep, total employment went up 165,000 jobs … that’s true

image

But, here’s the rest of the story …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: More on the rise of part-time work …

May 10, 2013

Yesterday we posted “Connecting the dots: ObamaCare may be creating jobs!”

The punch line: many companies are reported to be down mixing their work forces by reducing full-timers to part-time status … and hiring additional part-timers to fill their needs.

Today, let’s look at some macro numbers.

Total employment dropped 8.2 million during the recession.

5.3 million of those 8.2 million jobs have been recovered … but total employment is still down 2.9 million from its pre-recession peak.

Note that total employment is up 1.4 million since President Obama’s Inauguration in January 2009.

Keep that number in mind … 1.4 million.

image

Things get more interesting with a little drilling down …

Read the rest of this entry »

Jobs: A generation lost ?

May 9, 2013

Editorial in the WSJ today titled Meet Generation Jobbed

Punch line: With youth unemployment and underemployment at persistently high levels, “our kids are starting to look and sound like Europe’s smart kids—despondent and resigned.”

image

Here are the facts underlying the conclusion …

Read the rest of this entry »

Part-timing it: Retailers adding employees … and cutting hours.

May 8, 2013

According to IBD

Retailers – prepping for the ObamaCare mandates — are cutting workers’ hours and reclassifying them as part-timers.

image

Here’s the data

Read the rest of this entry »

NetTrax: You’re leaving cookie crumbs on the net … lots of them

May 8, 2013

What happens when you click to a web site?

Short answer: you have new cookies installed on your computer or have old cookies modified  … whether you know it or not … and  you then spew crumbs all over the Internet … letting companies track you, profile you, and hard sell you stuff.

Here’s a visual of what a couple of clicks can do … each dot represents a  site or company that can grab your information … just because you innocently clicked.

Later we’ll explain the graphic and what’s going on.

image

First some background on web tracking …

Read the rest of this entry »

Pssst: What’s your zip code?

May 6, 2013

Ever wonder why the gun-chewing cashier asks you for your zip code?

I naively assumed the store was just doing some kind of geo-survey … trying to figure out where their customers were coming from … how far they were driving to shop their store.

Silly boy.

image

CNN reports that ”Every time you mindlessly give a sales clerk your zip code at checkout, you’re giving data companies and retailers the ability to track everything from your body type to your bad habits.”

Whoa, Nellie.

Here’s what’s happening   …

Read the rest of this entry »

Connecting the dots: ObamaCare may be creating jobs!

May 6, 2013

You read that right.

The obvious has become evident to me …

The BLS reported that employment rose by 165,000 in April, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 7.5 percent,

Hmmm.

Memory jogged back to last week’s post re: the increasing number of part-timers:

Obvious question: how many of the 165,000 were part-timers?

According to the Fed’s data base, part-time employment increased by 229,000.

If true, that means that full-time employment dropped.

Hmmm again.

image

What’s going on?

Read the rest of this entry »

Ouch: Columbia b-school prof blasts academic research …

May 3, 2013

The blog InDecision posted the “presidential address” given at the conference of the Society for Consumer Psychology by Columbia Professor Michel Tuan Pham.

In his preamble, he bluntly questioned both the “external and internal relevance” of the research that he and his colleagues publish.

image

First, his perspective on external relevance … 

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: The April jobs report … Sequester creates jobs?

May 3, 2013

Here’s the headline: “Non-Farm Payrolls Rise More Than Expected, Up by 165,000 in April; Unemployment Rate Drops to 7.5%”.

I guess that the Sequester – rather than inhibiting job growth – actually spurred job growth.

Not really.

But, it means team Obama will have to re-write its press release for today.

= = = = =

Reminder: April ADP’s number was  159k … 30k below the consensus forecast … and, ADP revised March down by about 20k jobs..

image

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma                  >> Latest Posts

Nums: Is predictive analytics winning battles, not wars?

May 3, 2013

Peggy Noonan has a piece in the WSJ today that I almost skipped.

You know, another  “Is Obama a Lame Duck?” piece.

Buried in the column was a riff about predictive analytics that caught my eye.

image

It pointed out one of the downsides of  predictive analytics … the craft  of crunching big data bases to ID people, their behaviors and their hot buttons.

Here’s what Noonan had to say …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: The cable news race …

May 2, 2013

As reported by Drudge …

I’ve started to tire of O’Reilly, but he still holds a commanding lead.

image

Constantly amazed that Stewart & Colbert get classified as news shows … though frequent surveys say that many people do use them as their primary news source.

No surprise that MSNBC continues to get hammered in the ratings.

Kinda sad that that CNN continues to slip … key shows running even with Al Sharpton’s show … ouch.

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma         >> Latest Posts

Nums: Who approves of Obama more – poor folks or rich folks?

May 2, 2013

Interesting results from the Weekly Economist-YouGov Survey …

Headline: Obama gets a 47% approval rating (below 50%) and a 47% disapproval rating … dead heat.

But … looking at the “top & bottom boxes – strongly approve, strongly disapprove – he underwater by 16 percentage points.

Numbers get more interesting diving into the details:

By region … no surprise that Obama does best in the Northeast – about even on top & bottom boxes …. he does worst in the South – no surprise – and the West (a mix of West Coast liberals and and gun toting open-country folks).

image

Things get way more interesting by age and income …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: The shift to part-timers …

May 2, 2013

In a prior post, we reported that middle income jobs were disappearing … apparently down mixing to lower income jobs.

Here’s more …

The NY Times reports that about 7.6 million Americans working part-time jobs are doing so reluctantly, and would rather have a full-time job … that’s about 3 million more than there were when the recession began at the end of 2007.

Most of the part-time jobs are in retail and food service … where companies are throttling full-time employment in advance of ObamaCare penalties.

image

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma           >> Latest Posts

Nums: How many murders in Chicago since Newtown?

May 1, 2013

My eye caught a headline “Another murder near Obama’s home”.

The gist of the story:

A man was killed and another was wounded in a shooting early Tuesday in Hyde Park,

It’s the second shooting to happen near President Barack Obama’s home in neighboring Kenwood in about a week.

Last week 15-year-old Cornelius German was gunned down in the 5000 block of South Evans, less than a mile away from Obama’s house.

That got me wondering: how many murders have there been in Chicago since the Newton massacre.

Apparently, enough other folks ask the same question, so Slate has developed an infographic that provides a tally of murders by city since Sandy Hook.

The answer: 96 Murders in Chicago since Newtown. 

image
Source

Think about that for a second … then continue reading.

Read the rest of this entry »

Bummer: The middle class plight … in 2 charts.

May 1, 2013

Pew released a sobering report last week: An Uneven Recovery, 2009-2011

The central conclusion: the rich have gotten richer and the middle class has gotten crushed.

image

Upper and lower income groups have both increased by about 5 percentage points of the population mix.

In other words, the percentage of middle class folks – earning from 2/3s to twice the median income – has dropped by 10 percentage points.

What’s going on?

Read the rest of this entry »

Air fares: Public weighs in …

April 30, 2013

According to a YouGov.com survey reported by  NBC News  …

Survey says: 4 in 10 Americans  wouldn’t mind being publicly weighed at the airport.

image
Source

The results suggest that a once-unthinkable concept of differential fares based on size could become a fact of life for fliers.

Here are some verbatims:

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: More about the declining LFPR … blame teens, not old folks.

April 30, 2013

Remember March’s employment numbers?

Despite paltry job growth – less than population growth — the unemployment rate went down – because about 500,000 folks dropped out of the labor force.

The LFPR (labor force participation rate) dropped to 63.2%.

The Atlantic published an interesting recap of LFPRs by age group over time.

image

Note that the LFPR has been   …

  • Increasing for all age groups over 35
  • Holding steady at about 80% for folks 35 to 34
  • Dropping for folks 20 to 24.
  • Dropping big-time for teenagers

While older folks are participating more in the labor force, their LFPR is substantially less than other age groups (except teens) … so the aging population is “mixing down the overall LFPR.

What’s up with teens?

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma               >> Latest Posts

Amazing infographic: Life inside Baltimore’s jails …

April 29, 2013

From the you can’t make this stuff up file …

There’s a notorious gang – the Black Guerrilla Family (BGF) —  that is, one could say, well represent in the Baltimore prison population.

Well, court documents have been filed in a massive racketeering case accusing 13 female corrections officers of colluding with the BGF — seven male inmates and several outside gang members.

Colluding may be a gross understatement.

Corrections officers allegedly smuggled  contraband such as cellphones, drugs, and weapons to BGFers, and turned a blind eye on the BGF leaders running the outside gang from prison.

You know, garden variety collusion between guards and prisoners.

But, it turns out that several of the guards are also accused of being literally “in bed” with the BGF inmates.

Four of the officers became pregnant with prison gang leader Tavon White’s baby.

One of them got pregnant twice.

Say, what?

The web of relationships got sufficiently complicated that the Baltimore Sun developed an extraordinary infographic.

Don’t squint, below I’ll walk you through it and give you the link.

image

OK, here’s a key to the info graphic …

Read the rest of this entry »

Vanguard CEO: “Uncertainty the enemy of the economy” … I disagree”

April 29, 2013

In a WSJ editorial today, Vanguard CEO Bill McNabb says that …

Americans who seek to earn a living and save for the future are confused and discouraged.

Concerns of investors are asking: How does this affect my retirement fund? What about my college savings account? How does this affect my taxes? Would I be better off putting my savings under the mattress?

Firms can’t see a clear road to economic recovery ahead, so they’re not going to hire and they’re not going to spend.

It’s what economists call a “deadweight loss“.

He points to economic research that indicates U.S. economic policy uncertainty has been 50% higher in the past two years than it has been since 1985.

image
Source: PolicyUncertainty.com 

The uncertainty revolves around regulatory policy, monetary policy, foreign policy and, most significantly, uncertainty about U.S. fiscal policy and the national debt.

Vanguard estimates that the rise in policy uncertainty has created a $261 billion cumulative drag on the economy … which adds up to more than one million jobs that we could have had by now, but don’t.

Mr. McNabb makes a strong argument.

But, I respectfully disagree.

Read the rest of this entry »

Tsunami Alert: NYU b-school prof blasts high MBA tuitions …

April 26, 2013

In a Financial Times article,  NYU Stern School of Business professor Larry Zicklin, says the days when getting an MBA costs well north of $100,000 are coming to an end.

image

Zicklin argues that  …  b-schools face an existential threat … and that they aren’t aware of the tsunami that’s about to hit them.

The era of charging $100,000 for an education is over.

Here’s why …

Read the rest of this entry »

Cajones: Congress considers an exemption to ObamaCare … to themselves!

April 26, 2013

From the you can’t make this stuff up files …

During the 2009-10 battle over what’s now dubbed Obamacare, Republicans insisted that Capitol Hill hands must have the same health care as the rest of the American people.

Now, according to left-leaning Politico, “Congressional leaders in both parties are engaged in high-level, confidential talks about exempting 535 lawmakers and their aides from the insurance exchanges they are mandated to join as part of ObamaCare.”

“The lawmakers — especially those with long careers in public service and smaller bank accounts — are concerned about the hit to their own wallets.”

Obviously, “by removing themselves from a key ObamaCare mandate, lawmakers – who passed the law — and aides would be held to a different standard than the people on whom they’re imposing the law.”

image
Picture credit

Politico keenly observes: “If Capitol Hill leaders move forward with the plan, they risk being dubbed hypocrites by their political rivals and the American public.”

You think?

Good for us, bad for them.

Hmmm.

There’s more. Here’s the real head-scratcher …

Read the rest of this entry »

Huh: Home Depot using a cat to up its likability …

April 25, 2013

According to BrandChannei

“Richard the Cat, a.k.a., Pundit of People, remains Home Depot’s meme of choice as the brand welcomes spring some out-of-character humor.

The orange feline follows a human family as they pursue scores of DIY projects with questionable results and predictable mishaps.”

image

“Everyone has elves, reindeer, Santa, but one of the biggest things followed in the social space is cats”

HD is taking a chance on the cat meme since the two are an odd pairing.

The Home Depot brand is authentic, innovative and attainable, while Richard’s cat-sona is sarcastic, superior and refined.

HD’s CMO says: “When I shared this with our leadership team, our CEO got it immediately.

We’re very lucky we have one of the hippest CEOs out there.”

Hmmm.

Here may be the rub for Home Depot …

Read the rest of this entry »

Biz Insider: “Krugman won, austerity lost” … say what?

April 25, 2013

Yesterday, Business Insider guru Henry Blodget wrote: The Economic Argument Is Over — Paul Krugman Has Won

I haven’t been a big Blodget fan since he was run off of Wall Street for hyping internet stocks during their pre-bubble bursting run-up.

I think he’s trying to balance the scales these days … leaning far left to – he hopes – increase his odds of getting through the Pealy Gates.

The essence of his article is that the only thing wrong with the economy is a lack of adequate aggregate demand.

So, the government should keep borrowing and spending  … and things will right themselves,

The economic water level will rise to a point that reluctant CEOs will have no choice but to start hiring and building plants to meet demand.

That’s not a patently dumb notion … it’s just flat out wrong.

image

Here’s what’s wrong with Blodget’s argument …

Read the rest of this entry »

Uh-oh: Where did the bombers get the money?

April 24, 2013

I’d been wondering – since there has been no mention of jobs – how the bomber brothers got the dough to (a) live (b) travel to Russia for 6 months and (c) construct weapons of mass destruction.

image

The older brother didn’t have a job and the younger one was a pot-smoking college student.

The Boston Herald has just surfaced one avenue: that they (and their parents) were on the government welfare dole … so, in effect, taxpayers were paying their way.

Hmmm.

That’s bad, but is welfare enough to fund a terror plot complete with trips to Russia?

Doubt it.

So where did the rest of the money come from.

DHS Chief Napolitano says there’s no way they got it from terrorist groups.

Oh really, Janet.

No way?

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma              >> Latest Posts

Debunk: Air traffic controllers, sequestration and delays …

April 24, 2013

Flight delays at major airports because of Sequestration.

Say, what?

Here’s a smoking gun chart right from an official FAA report.

According to the FAA, the number of controlled flights (i.e. “systemwide traffic”) has dropped  23% since 2000.

During that same period, the number of air traffic controllers has remained essentially constant.

Said differently, each controller is handling 23% fewer flights than in 2000 … when, to the best of my recollection, the skies were pretty darn safe.

Note that since 2005, the number of flights has gone down 14% and the number of controllers had increased 7.5%.

image
FAA: A Plan for the Future – 10-Year Strategy for the Air Traffic Control Workforce 2012 – 2021

Here are some verbatims from the FAA report and an out-of-box idea …

Read the rest of this entry »

MBA: Career-switching is back in fashion …

April 23, 2013

According to Business Week: “More MBA grads are switching careers as the job market improves.”

image

Here are the details …

Read the rest of this entry »

What’s the difference between Krispy Kreme doughnuts and gourmet cupcakes?

April 23, 2013

We’re not talking baked goods quality, we’re talking quality of the earnings baked into stock market valuations.

image

And, the answer may surprise you.

Read the rest of this entry »

$$$: How much do MBA interns get paid?

April 22, 2013

According to Business Week, top school MBAs haul in an average of about $1,750 per week for their summer internships.

At HBS, the median is $7,000 per month … that’s about $1,650 per week … which annualizes to about $90k.

Of course, there’s wide variation based on the school and the industry.

Note that Kellogg –- a general management and marketing school – tops the list

image

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

An IRS agent, an FBI agent and a gardener ….

April 22, 2013

No, this isn’t the lead line of a bad joke.

It’s a question of priorities.

image

Let’s start with the gardener …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: Obama was right … it’s a matter of trust.

April 19, 2013

For the record: I love kids (especially my grandkids), I lived in the city adjacent to Newtown for 7 years, and I’m definitely not a gun hawk – I’ve never owned one, never shot one and don’t plan to do either.

I think most people are reading this week’s gun control vote all wrong.

First, it’s repeatedly reported that 80% to 90% of Americans support background checks.

That’s probably true, but a practical  overstatement because “while about 80 percent of those Americans think that background checks sound like a reasonable idea, they don’t really care much …   only 4 percent of Americans consider guns to be the “most important” issue facing the country.” NRO

Second, I think that President Obama had it right a couple of weeks ago when he pitched: “People say they don’t trust the government.  But, we are the government.”

Yep, he has it right … people don’t trust government.

At least the Federal government.

Here’s some evidence …

A recent Pew survey shows that trust in government took a major hit during the Johns0n-Nixon-Ford-Carter years … and has been cycling around the 30% mark since … currently, a little over 20% of the population trusts the government.

image

Think about that for a moment …

Even assuming that – at an extreme – no Republicans trust the current administration … it means that less than half of all Democrats trust the administration.

Hmmm.

Here are some more interesting nums …

Read the rest of this entry »

Gotcha: You probably paid too much … especially if you’re bad at math.

April 18, 2013

Awhile ago, we reported a study that consumers almost invariably pick 33% more stuff than a 33% price discount.

Ouch.

Consumers are notoriously bad at spotting real values. Why?

image

According to the Atlantic ….

  • First: Consumers don’t know what the heck anything should cost, so we rely on parts of our brains that aren’t strictly quantitative.
  • Second: Although humans spend in numbered dollars, we make decisions based on clues and half-thinking that amount to innumeracy.

More specifically, here are some more ways consumers end up paying too much …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: Do big companies or small companies create more jobs?”

April 18, 2013

Bit of a trick question since the constant refrain is that small companies are the ones that generate job growth.

According to a Business Week analysis of ADP National Employment data …

Since the U.S. economic recovery began in june 2009, big employers have increased employment 7.5%, while small employers have boosted payrolls only 4.9%.

image

Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, was on the McCain team in 2008 but has changed sides and now regularly advocates for the Administration of TV.

He says: that there are three explanations for why large employers (1,000 employees and up) grew faster than small ones (fewer than 50 workers).

Read the rest of this entry »

Before you cut the football team, band, honors classes and hot lunches …. consider these places to cut government spending

April 17, 2013

According to an IBD recap

The Government Accountability Office’s latest annual report on government waste and duplication found 31 areas in the government that overlap, duplicate efforts or are egregiously inefficient.

That’s on top of the 131 found in its previous two annual reports …. the vast majority of which have been totally ignored by Obama’s crack team of budget-cutters.

image

Sen. Tom Coburn (R-Okla.), who pushed for this report, figures the latest examples alone add up to $95 billion — more than the spending cuts under this year’s “sequester.”

Here are some of head-scratchers that the GAO found …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: Still, blaming the declining LFPR on seniors retiring …

April 17, 2013

Former Obama economic adviser Austan Goolsbee was back on TV saying that more than 60% of the decline in the labor force participation rate (LFPR)  is simple demographics … old people retiring.

image

Last week, I posted a back of the envelop analysis that said  seniors retiring is less than 1/3 of the blame.

Today, let’s do the analysis more rigorously, using a technique that I teach called PVA – Profit Variance Analysis ….

Read the rest of this entry »

Pssst: Facebook is stalking you in stores ….

April 16, 2013

Why?

Ostensibly to see if its sponsors’ ads are working.

But, some skeptics (e.g. me) think that there may be other motives, too.

Here’s the scoop.

Last year, Facebook entered into a partnership with a company called Datalogix.

image

Everybody knows what Facebook does.

Datalogix, not so much.

Datalogix is a firm that records the purchasing patterns of more than 100 million American households.

When you stop by the supermarket … you probably hand the cashier a loyalty card to get a discount on your items.

That card ties your identity to your purchases.

Your sales data is sent over to a server maintained by Datalogix, which has agreements with hundreds of major retailers to procure such data.

Source: Slate

Hmmm.

Facebook and Datalogix … why the hook-up?

Read the rest of this entry »

Taxes: In total, how much do Americans pay in taxes? For what? To whom?.

April 16, 2013

Since yesterday was tax day, I thought you might like to see a recap of how much dough (some) Americans fork over to the government …

Americans pay a tad over $5 trillion in taxes to the Feds, States and Local Governments.

Technical note: In government parlance, the taxes are called “revenue”.

By taxing authority

Drilling down, the $5 trillion is split roughly 50%-30%-20% to the Feds, States and Locals, respectively

Here’s more detail …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: What percentage of Facebook users click on the ads?

April 15, 2013

According to an AP-CNBC poll

User clicks are a critical part of an advertiser’s calculus when gauging the effectiveness of those ads and how much they’re willing to pay for them.

So, how does Facebook do?

image

Here are some survey results …

Read the rest of this entry »

Taxes: How about an Alternative MAXIMUM tax ?

April 15, 2013

Interesting idea in today’s WSJ …  introduce an alternative maximum tax.

Here’s the gyst of the idea:

We need an alternative maximum tax as a simple, rough-and-ready way to limit the economic damage of increasing taxes. 

How much is the most anyone should have to pay? When do taxes indisputably start to harm the economy and produce less revenue — when government takes 50% of people’s income? 60%? 70%?

I like half, but the principle matters more than the number.

Once the country settles on a number, each of us gets to add up everything we pay to government at every level: federal income taxes, yes, but also payroll (Social Security, Medicare, etc.) taxes, state, city and county taxes, estate taxes, property taxes, sales taxes, payroll taxes and unemployment insurance for nannies, household workers, or other employees, excise taxes, real-estate transfer taxes, and so on and on, right down to your vehicle stickers and those annoying extra taxes on your airline tickets.

Once this total hits the alternative maximum tax, you’ve done your bit and federal income taxes can take no more.

You compute federal income taxes as usual, but then you get to reduce the “tax due” that the total is less than the alternative maximum.

For the dude’s supporting argument, see the the article America Needs an Alternative Maximum Tax

The plan has some holes, but it has potential …

* * * * *
Follow on Twitter @KenHoma            >> Latest Posts

Nums: Are women still at a disadvantage in the workplace?

April 12, 2013

According to a recently released WSJ poll

“Women in large numbers believe they face more discrimination in the workplace than in other situations.”

image

= = = = =
The “disadvantages” include lower pay than men …

Read the rest of this entry »

Nums: What percentage of Americans prepare their own taxes? How many of them like it?

April 12, 2013

According to Pew Research

Overall, 33% of Americans say they do their own taxes while 56% say someone else prepares their taxes.

  • Note 1: 11% don’t know who does their taxes or were befuddled by the question
  • Note 2: The folks in the 11% get to vote in Presidential elections (ouch!)

A majority of Americans (56%) have a negative reaction to doing their income taxes 1 in 4  say they hate doing them.

image

Among those who dislike or hate doing their taxes, most cite the hassles of the process or the amount of time it takes:

About a third (34%) say they either like (29%) or love (5%) doing their taxes.

Here are some details re: the “likers” and lovers … 

Read the rest of this entry »