Which are the ones to watch?
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A loyal reader asked: The “Bottom 39” DND keeps rising, are there any particular states driving that?
So, I crunched some numbers looking at the past 3 weeks of data… May 3 until today (charts below).
During that period, there were 30,288 C-19 deaths in the U.S.
The Bottom 39 accounted for 8,601 of those deaths … that’s 28% of the total.
16 states (in the Bottom 39) had more than 200 deaths between May 3 and May 24.
Those 16 states accounted for 6,086 deaths … that’s 70% of the Bottom 39 total.
Note that:
- The states near the top of the list of 16 are relatively large in population
- Texas and North Carolina still have relatively low per capita death rates
- Rhode Island and D.C. are low on the list of 16 (but in the Top 28) and have relatively high per capita death rates
- Minnesota, Arizona, Mississippi, Iowa and New Mexico have more than doubled their death count since May 3
Here’s another cut at the data…
The Homa Files 